I'm rather curious that with the anti-hopping law, this can happen without the the seats of MPs who cross over falling vacant and by-elections held:- "A strong performance in the coming elections by PN could encourage 8 to 10 UMNO MPs in Pahang to cross over to PN, and bring down the PH-BN government. "
As for the battle royale, it is already apparent in the statements by PH-BN politicians and PN politicians, as well as in media aligned with PH and BN on the one hand and media aligned with PN, in the run up to these six state elections.
Also beliefs that the criminal charges against Muhyiddin being political persecution existed from when the accusations made and charges laid, not recently.
Given the current scenario, as well as public perception that the Anwar-led unity government has been unable to bring down the cost of living, address other economic issues and so forth, as well as grievances amongst members and supporters of factions within UMNO whose leaders have been sidelined, suspended or expelled - it is of course quite possible that they would switch their votes to PN parties.
As for the largely urban, educated, middle-class, English-literate, non-Malay, non-Muslim, as well as liberal Malay-Muslim milieu amongst which I live and move, there's no real choice but to grit our teeth and vote PH, despite its current alliance in the PH-BN Unity Government, with an UMNO faction deemed to be less than desireable within our circles.
Either that, or we choose to vote for candidates from small parties or independents whom we know have no real chance of winning.
I think 8 state umno bossku's elected rep of pahang maybe crossing over to pas. They do not have anti hopping law.
In Selangor, DAP-UMNO need to buckle up. They should get rid of zahid and DAP should withdraw rascist Setapak Declaration.
This is key for DAP- UMNO to defend Selangor.
There are 56 Selangor State constituencies.
PN should win 38 constituencies.
They are majority malays and indians. Bossku umno,mic,mca,gerakan,pas and bersatu will campaign to secure these seats for PN.
PH should win 18 constituencies.
These are chinese majority that are upset because their busines are losing money daily. It cost more money to do business under DAP-UMNO rule.
Their goods are expensive,the customers have dissappeared,the staff are demanding increase in salary, electricity bills hv doubled, the bank lending rate are up 2%, supplies are inconsistent, cartels rule and pay the ministers, the bank hardly approve borrowers any loans.
The chinese say anwar is 'suey'. Must change.
The 18 constituencies chinese majority are:
1.sekinchan
2.rawang
3.bkt antarabangsa
4.teratai
5.kajang
6.balakong
7.seri kembangan
8.kinrara
9.subang jaya
10.bkt gasing
11.kpg tunku
12.bandar utama
13.bukit lanjan
14.bandar baru kelang
15.pandamaran
16.sentosa
17.kota kemuning
18.banting
19. sg pelek
The voters at these 18 constituencies have rejected DAP- UMNO and are voting mic,mca and gerakan if they contest here.
What is PH to do again?
They need to get rid of zahid.
They should also ask dap to withdraw Setapak Declaration.
Yes. Whilst the anti-hopping law was adopted and enforced at federal parliamentary level, it has not been adopted in the constitutions of all states across Malaysia.
This article in The Star on 17 August 2022 may be a bit dated but Pahang is not one of the states which have adopted an anti-hopping law into their constitutions.
As a Selangor resident registered to vote in Petaling Jaya federal constituency and Bukit Gasing state constituency, if PN wins 38 out of the 56 constituencies in Selangor, then PN gets to form the Selangor government, irrespective of how voters in the 18 Chinese-majority of non-Malay majority state constituencies you listed above.
From my interaction with my relatively small circle of mostly non-Malays, non-Muslims and more liberal Muslim neighbours, I do not see any inclination, I do not see any inclination to want to vote for MCA, MIC or Gerakan, though one neighbour suggested we vote for MUDA if they stand in our constituency, and this is because several Petaling Jaya residents had filed a lawsuit taking state and other authorities to court for their alleged failure to disclose approval documents linked to the controversial proposed Petaling Jaya Dispersal Link (PJD Link) expressway, and the suit was filed through Messrs Lim Wei Jiet at the High Court on June 7.
Well, lawyer Lim Wei Jiet is a founding member of the MUDA political party and opposition to the Petaling Jaya Dispersal Link elevated highway through Petaling Jaya is very much a local issue.
Residents file suit against authorities to obtain EIA reports, other documents on PJD Link expressway
However, knowing the "not in my own backyard" (NIMBY) mentality, most of the opposition in Selangor to highways such as PJD Link is concentrated in state constituencies through which its alignment routes through, as you can see in the active map in the SayNotoPJDLink website above.
You can also download the results of the independent SIA (Social Impact Assessment) report which found that 93.6% of the total 2,501 respondents (along the highway alignment) disagreed with PJD Link.
Tq.derek fernandez is a friend and so are a few ex counsellors. Most of those 19 constituencies should remain dap.however, the other 37 may change. Most umno bossku faction are voting pn in selangor.
Yes. Within Petaling Jaya federal constituency (P105) are Seri Setia (N32), Taman Medan (N33) and Bukit Gasing (N34), of which Bukit Gasing is 67.10% Chinese as of 2018, 16.06% Malay and 14.27% Indian, so overwhelmingly a DAP/PH stronghold.
Seri Setia was 54.13% Malay as of 2018, 24.38% Indian and 19.7% Chinese, whilst Taman Medan was 67.38% Malay, 18.97% Indian and 12.42% Chinese as of 2018.
As for 2022, Petaling Jaya federal constituency was 49.3% Malay, 29.5% Chinese and 20.7% Indian.
All those figures above are from Wikipedia entries for Petaling Jaya federal constituency and Bukit Gasing, Seri Setia and Taman Medan state constituencies.
Me and my fellow residents feel that Taman Medan which is held by PKR/PH now could fall to PN in the upcoming state election, though the PKR/PH and UMNO/BN condidates combined got 86.45% of the vote in Taman Medan in 2018, whilst PAS got 13.55% of the vote. However, given the changes and re-alignments which have taken place since 2018 and especially since GE15, voter sentiment in Taman Medan could yield some surprises.
In a by-election in September 2018 due to the death of the incumbent, the PKR/PH candidate Halimey Abu Bakar won with 58.6% of the vote in Seri Setia in a straight fight with PAS which got 41.4% of the vote, though in the May 2018 state elections, the BN candidate came second after the PKR/PH who won and the PAS candidate came third.
So if a Bersatu/PN candidate goes against a PKR/PH or Amanah/PH candidate in a two-cornered fight in Seri Setia on 12th August, the Bersatu/PN candidate could possibly win.
As for opposition to the PJD Link highway goes, the opposition and support for the highway appears to be split along ethnic and class lines, with the majority of those opposed to it living in majority non-Malay areas of Petaling Jaya beside its route, north of Jalan Kelang Lama and the NPE, whilst I understand that those living south of Jalan Kelang Lama and the NPE, some areas of which are majority Malay, tend to be in favour the highway, some for practical reasons, such as their belief that it will ease their daily commute through traffic congestion.
Back in 2016, I presented a copy of a 500 signature petition opposing the first iteration of PJD Link which my fellow residents had presented to the Selangor Menteri Besar (then Azmin Ali), to then Taman Medan state assemblywoman Dr. Haniza Talhar at her service office in PJS (Petaling Jaya Selatan) area just south of Jalan Kelang Lama and the NPE and she told me that residents in her side if Petaling Jaya, many of whom were lower income group government flat dwellers wanted the highway, believing that it would solve their daily traffic problems.
Likewise, someone who lives along Jalan Kelang Lama and works in Section 19 Petaling Jaya told me that she also welcomes the PJD Link highway, believing that it would solve her daily hour-long commute by car each way between her home and office.
Also, someone who claimed to be a resident of Kinrara posted on a website that the PHD Link highway would solve their daily commute traffic problems.
So this PJD Link issue is quite controversial,with differences of opinions amongst residents along its route, so the respective state assemblymen and assemblywomen of constituencies along its route will feel compelled to support the majority stand within their constituencies.
The battle royale in Selangor starts tonight. Near Giant@b caves.
A major pidato jam session themed as an uprising of the people, ie 'kebangkitan rakyat' for a selangor baharu is scheduled tonight.
It will feature ex bn warlord noh omar and annuar musa (who will announce two of his umno member of parliament to leave umno after the state election and force two more by elections) and will be held to ensure support for incumbent PN yb hilman seat, ie N017 gombak setia constituency. He is also azmin's political secretary.
Given the malays and the indians are supporting PN, an 85% support for PN is possible here and with almost 100% youth vote and at about 70% turnout expected, this seat is for PN to lose. DAP- UMNO need to work hard to win this battle.
I'm rather curious that with the anti-hopping law, this can happen without the the seats of MPs who cross over falling vacant and by-elections held:- "A strong performance in the coming elections by PN could encourage 8 to 10 UMNO MPs in Pahang to cross over to PN, and bring down the PH-BN government. "
As for the battle royale, it is already apparent in the statements by PH-BN politicians and PN politicians, as well as in media aligned with PH and BN on the one hand and media aligned with PN, in the run up to these six state elections.
Also beliefs that the criminal charges against Muhyiddin being political persecution existed from when the accusations made and charges laid, not recently.
Given the current scenario, as well as public perception that the Anwar-led unity government has been unable to bring down the cost of living, address other economic issues and so forth, as well as grievances amongst members and supporters of factions within UMNO whose leaders have been sidelined, suspended or expelled - it is of course quite possible that they would switch their votes to PN parties.
As for the largely urban, educated, middle-class, English-literate, non-Malay, non-Muslim, as well as liberal Malay-Muslim milieu amongst which I live and move, there's no real choice but to grit our teeth and vote PH, despite its current alliance in the PH-BN Unity Government, with an UMNO faction deemed to be less than desireable within our circles.
Either that, or we choose to vote for candidates from small parties or independents whom we know have no real chance of winning.
I think 8 state umno bossku's elected rep of pahang maybe crossing over to pas. They do not have anti hopping law.
In Selangor, DAP-UMNO need to buckle up. They should get rid of zahid and DAP should withdraw rascist Setapak Declaration.
This is key for DAP- UMNO to defend Selangor.
There are 56 Selangor State constituencies.
PN should win 38 constituencies.
They are majority malays and indians. Bossku umno,mic,mca,gerakan,pas and bersatu will campaign to secure these seats for PN.
PH should win 18 constituencies.
These are chinese majority that are upset because their busines are losing money daily. It cost more money to do business under DAP-UMNO rule.
Their goods are expensive,the customers have dissappeared,the staff are demanding increase in salary, electricity bills hv doubled, the bank lending rate are up 2%, supplies are inconsistent, cartels rule and pay the ministers, the bank hardly approve borrowers any loans.
The chinese say anwar is 'suey'. Must change.
The 18 constituencies chinese majority are:
1.sekinchan
2.rawang
3.bkt antarabangsa
4.teratai
5.kajang
6.balakong
7.seri kembangan
8.kinrara
9.subang jaya
10.bkt gasing
11.kpg tunku
12.bandar utama
13.bukit lanjan
14.bandar baru kelang
15.pandamaran
16.sentosa
17.kota kemuning
18.banting
19. sg pelek
The voters at these 18 constituencies have rejected DAP- UMNO and are voting mic,mca and gerakan if they contest here.
What is PH to do again?
They need to get rid of zahid.
They should also ask dap to withdraw Setapak Declaration.
Thanks, Johan.
Yes. Whilst the anti-hopping law was adopted and enforced at federal parliamentary level, it has not been adopted in the constitutions of all states across Malaysia.
This article in The Star on 17 August 2022 may be a bit dated but Pahang is not one of the states which have adopted an anti-hopping law into their constitutions.
Only four states have anti-hopping law for now
https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2022/08/17/only-four-states-have-anti-hopping-law-for-now
As a Selangor resident registered to vote in Petaling Jaya federal constituency and Bukit Gasing state constituency, if PN wins 38 out of the 56 constituencies in Selangor, then PN gets to form the Selangor government, irrespective of how voters in the 18 Chinese-majority of non-Malay majority state constituencies you listed above.
From my interaction with my relatively small circle of mostly non-Malays, non-Muslims and more liberal Muslim neighbours, I do not see any inclination, I do not see any inclination to want to vote for MCA, MIC or Gerakan, though one neighbour suggested we vote for MUDA if they stand in our constituency, and this is because several Petaling Jaya residents had filed a lawsuit taking state and other authorities to court for their alleged failure to disclose approval documents linked to the controversial proposed Petaling Jaya Dispersal Link (PJD Link) expressway, and the suit was filed through Messrs Lim Wei Jiet at the High Court on June 7.
Well, lawyer Lim Wei Jiet is a founding member of the MUDA political party and opposition to the Petaling Jaya Dispersal Link elevated highway through Petaling Jaya is very much a local issue.
Residents file suit against authorities to obtain EIA reports, other documents on PJD Link expressway
https://www.malaymail.com/news/malaysia/2023/06/21/residents-file-suit-against-authorities-to-obtain-eia-reports-other-documents-on-pjd-link-expressway/75571
We love our city
https://www.saynotopjdlink.org/aboutus.html
Help reject the PJD Link highway
https://www.saynotopjdlink.org/
However, knowing the "not in my own backyard" (NIMBY) mentality, most of the opposition in Selangor to highways such as PJD Link is concentrated in state constituencies through which its alignment routes through, as you can see in the active map in the SayNotoPJDLink website above.
You can also download the results of the independent SIA (Social Impact Assessment) report which found that 93.6% of the total 2,501 respondents (along the highway alignment) disagreed with PJD Link.
https://bit.ly/m/Independent-SIA?r=qr
Tq.derek fernandez is a friend and so are a few ex counsellors. Most of those 19 constituencies should remain dap.however, the other 37 may change. Most umno bossku faction are voting pn in selangor.
Yes. Within Petaling Jaya federal constituency (P105) are Seri Setia (N32), Taman Medan (N33) and Bukit Gasing (N34), of which Bukit Gasing is 67.10% Chinese as of 2018, 16.06% Malay and 14.27% Indian, so overwhelmingly a DAP/PH stronghold.
Seri Setia was 54.13% Malay as of 2018, 24.38% Indian and 19.7% Chinese, whilst Taman Medan was 67.38% Malay, 18.97% Indian and 12.42% Chinese as of 2018.
As for 2022, Petaling Jaya federal constituency was 49.3% Malay, 29.5% Chinese and 20.7% Indian.
All those figures above are from Wikipedia entries for Petaling Jaya federal constituency and Bukit Gasing, Seri Setia and Taman Medan state constituencies.
Me and my fellow residents feel that Taman Medan which is held by PKR/PH now could fall to PN in the upcoming state election, though the PKR/PH and UMNO/BN condidates combined got 86.45% of the vote in Taman Medan in 2018, whilst PAS got 13.55% of the vote. However, given the changes and re-alignments which have taken place since 2018 and especially since GE15, voter sentiment in Taman Medan could yield some surprises.
In a by-election in September 2018 due to the death of the incumbent, the PKR/PH candidate Halimey Abu Bakar won with 58.6% of the vote in Seri Setia in a straight fight with PAS which got 41.4% of the vote, though in the May 2018 state elections, the BN candidate came second after the PKR/PH who won and the PAS candidate came third.
So if a Bersatu/PN candidate goes against a PKR/PH or Amanah/PH candidate in a two-cornered fight in Seri Setia on 12th August, the Bersatu/PN candidate could possibly win.
As for opposition to the PJD Link highway goes, the opposition and support for the highway appears to be split along ethnic and class lines, with the majority of those opposed to it living in majority non-Malay areas of Petaling Jaya beside its route, north of Jalan Kelang Lama and the NPE, whilst I understand that those living south of Jalan Kelang Lama and the NPE, some areas of which are majority Malay, tend to be in favour the highway, some for practical reasons, such as their belief that it will ease their daily commute through traffic congestion.
Back in 2016, I presented a copy of a 500 signature petition opposing the first iteration of PJD Link which my fellow residents had presented to the Selangor Menteri Besar (then Azmin Ali), to then Taman Medan state assemblywoman Dr. Haniza Talhar at her service office in PJS (Petaling Jaya Selatan) area just south of Jalan Kelang Lama and the NPE and she told me that residents in her side if Petaling Jaya, many of whom were lower income group government flat dwellers wanted the highway, believing that it would solve their daily traffic problems.
Likewise, someone who lives along Jalan Kelang Lama and works in Section 19 Petaling Jaya told me that she also welcomes the PJD Link highway, believing that it would solve her daily hour-long commute by car each way between her home and office.
Also, someone who claimed to be a resident of Kinrara posted on a website that the PHD Link highway would solve their daily commute traffic problems.
So this PJD Link issue is quite controversial,with differences of opinions amongst residents along its route, so the respective state assemblymen and assemblywomen of constituencies along its route will feel compelled to support the majority stand within their constituencies.
The battle royale in Selangor starts tonight. Near Giant@b caves.
A major pidato jam session themed as an uprising of the people, ie 'kebangkitan rakyat' for a selangor baharu is scheduled tonight.
It will feature ex bn warlord noh omar and annuar musa (who will announce two of his umno member of parliament to leave umno after the state election and force two more by elections) and will be held to ensure support for incumbent PN yb hilman seat, ie N017 gombak setia constituency. He is also azmin's political secretary.
Given the malays and the indians are supporting PN, an 85% support for PN is possible here and with almost 100% youth vote and at about 70% turnout expected, this seat is for PN to lose. DAP- UMNO need to work hard to win this battle.
Let the game begin! 🏁