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Pas rise and rise is due to umno fall and fall.

This state election will see pas taking most of the kelantan,trengganu,kedah,selangor and n9 majority malay muslim state seats.

Pas is expecting 70% voter turnout and win 19 state seats in selangor and 16 state seats in n9.

Pas employ digital campaign via socmed platforms and targeting 500mil views, deploying narratives and shaping opinion to secure youth votes.

Their influencers are assisted by web crawlers,data science, vpn as well as economists and bankers in order to ensure a successful campaign.

Pas will rise and rise!

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"Pas employ digital campaign via socmed platforms and targeting 500mil views, deploying narratives and shaping opinion to secure youth votes.

Their influencers are assisted by web crawlers,data science, vpn as well as economists and bankers in order to ensure a successful campaign."

all this from a party labelled as 'backward' 'ancient' 'taliban' 'rural' 'lebai' 'anti-modernity' 'stone age' 'kampong' and other negative connotations from journalists, political analysts and detractors.

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For the Malays, the majority and Muslims by default, there is nothing like stability, unity, their dignity and their culture all necessarily linked to what PAS stands for.

They've tried everything from aa treacherous foreign funded alternatives to UMNO and tolerated a liberal democracy for decades. They can't lose with PAS.

They've tried everything else including radical Christian parties like the DAP and unregistered goats like Bersih. Mahathir and Anwar unfortunately have turned their private personal battles into a burden of the state and for parties like UMNO and every other major party in Malaysia.

The rise of nationalism, gender and identity politics of nationalistic religious politics is a worldwide phenomenon. It can't be stopped now. We have to wish PAS all the best. At least for its endurance and steadfastness.

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Hard facts about the reality of the current situation and well researched.Your prediction will most probably come true, where some are too afraid to voice out. Most of the cheerleaders of the current setup are just oblivious.Your article is dispassionate which makes it an informative read minus the wayang

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Just to stop the thousands of unemployed Islamic studies graduates from joining PAS, Mahathir with the support of Anwar, got them all employed as teachers of Islamic studies in all government schools. More recently the PH Education Minister added Jawi as he could not push through khat. All Muslim students attend 6 classes of Islamic studies per week and 1 for Jawi. And now they can vote from the age of 18. Of all the first time Malay voters, whether rural or urban, I'd predict no less than 80% will give their vote to PAS and their allies. At the next general elections I forecast PAS will have no less than 70 seats. By then we can expect PAS and Bersatu to not be as pally as they are now.

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The fall of PKR and UMNO the present federal government alliance is the competition for loyalty between PAS and their supporters. The battle to win votes in the coming state election is the fight between reason and emotion between the opposing camps of the political divides.

The votes in the majority of the citizens are a deciders of winners and losers. The voters as a whole is aptly described by Arthur Schopenhauer

" The majority of men... are not capable of thinking, but only of believing, and... are not accessible to reason, but only to authority."

“Of mankind we may say in general they are fickle, hypocritical, and greedy of gain.”

― Niccolò Machiavelli, The Prince

“Men are so simple of mind, and so much dominated by their immediate needs, that a deceitful man will always find plenty who are ready to be deceived.”

― Niccolò Machiavelli

“The vulgar crowd always is taken by appearances, and the world consists chiefly of the vulgar.”

― Niccolò Machiavelli, The Prince

PAS rises to power and hypnotize the masses is due to lack of proper leadership with vision for the long term good of the country- but due to weakness of character in the majority of the politicians in power.

“Men are so simple and so much inclined to obey immediate needs that a deceiver will never lack victims for his deceptions.”

― Niccolò Machiavelli

Whatever changes the temporary government of Anwar wishes to change have come too late. it is never easy to change trends and movement of the collective mind.

“It ought to be remembered that there is nothing more difficult to take in hand, more perilous to conduct, or more uncertain in its success, than to take the lead in the introduction of a new order of things. Because the innovator has for enemies all those who have done well under the old conditions, and lukewarm defenders in those who may do well under the new. This coolness arises partly from fear of the opponents, who have the laws on their side, and partly from the incredulity of men, who do not readily believe in new things until they have had a long experience of them.”

― Niccolò Machiavelli, The Prince

The kind of citizenry education that glues the nation together has yet to be tasted by this divided nation, as a real education of this kind can frog leap the nation tremendously.

Education makes a people easy to lead, but difficult to drive, easy to govern, but impossible to enslave . Henry Peter Brougham ( 19 Sept 1778-7 May 1868)

The education culture and philosophy inherited from the west hardly teach what is worthy to learn from life. Any educational tool or method that matters must have these two components to incorporate the art and science of living a life of significance. To be truly educated and well equipped for life is to learn and reason.- power to cope with changes in the ocean of living.

He who will not reason, is a bigot; he who cannot is a fool; and he who dares not is a slave.

Sir William Drummond (26 Sept 1769-29 March 1828)

“The illiterate of the 21st century will not be those who cannot read and write, but those who cannot learn, unlearn, and relearn. ”

― Alvin Toffler (4 Oct 1928- 27 June 2016)

Any government that has this specific focus of the real value of education for its people will have a long term support of its people generation after generation, election after election.

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A very good analysis of why PAS has gained so much ground.

However, there appears to be a factual error in the 5th paragraph:-

"Reformers took power in 2018 only to be ousted in a palace coup in 2021 after 20 months of ineffective, erratic and autocratic rule. The reformers, headed by Anwar, took power again last November......"

The Pakatan Harapan government elected on 9 May 2018 and headed by Dr. Mahathir as prime minister, collapsed when Mahathir resigned a PM on 24 February 2020, which led to the split of his Bersatu (PPBM) party from the Pakatan Harapan pact / coalition.

The day before, then PKR's Azmin Ali led the "Sheraton Move" at the Petaling Jaya Sheraton Hotel on 23 February 2020, where his faction within PKR split from PKR.

After the YDP Agung went through a week-long selection process, His Majesty swore in Muhyiddin Yassin as prime minister on 1 March 2020, 18 days before the global COVID-19 pandemic saw Malaysia having to undertake a series of MCO restrictions from 18 March 2020 to try and contain the spread of COVID-19..

After UMNO MPs withdrew their support for the Muhyiddin Yassin government, Muhyiddin resigned a prime minister on 16 August 2021 and the Agung undertook another selection process amongst MPs and appointed Ismail Sabri as prime minister officially from 21 August 2021 until Ismail dissolved parliament on 10 October 2022 to make way for the 15th general election, which resulted in a hung parliament - a problem which was overcome by the formation of the current unity government led by Anwar Ibrahim.

Whilst PAS in no way is communist, however its strategy of building up a strong communal presence and an electoral support base amongst rural Malays and Muslims which it is now expanding into the towns and cities, is quite similar to the peasant war strategy of the communists, especially the Maoists of building up a support base of armed peasant fighters, as well as material and ideological and support networks in the rural areas which they will gain control of bit by bit until they surround the urban areas and the communist guerilla forces are strong enough gather together into a conventional army for the final attack to capture the urban areas.

You're also right that PKR is very much and urban-based party and the value systems especially of the urban and rural Malays and Muslims, such as with regards the significance of the KLCC and megaprojects can be diametrically opposite. (Though for a very much born and bred urban me, I couldn't care less about KLCC either, except for it being somewhere I have to go to cover a media event or some conference and then get the hell away from as fast as I can.)

In many ways, the urban, middle-class, English-literate, often overseas educated milieu of Pakatan Harapan and PKR members and supporters whom I hang out with in chat groups, could be living on another planet from Malaysians living and working in the rural and semi-rural areas.

Let us wait and see the outcome of the state elections in the six states, which will give us a more accurate idea of political realities on the ground.

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